Validation of nomograms for overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and recurrence in carcinoma of the major salivary glands Journal Article


Authors: Hay, A.; Migliacci, J.; Zanoni, D. K.; Patel, S.; Yu, C.; Kattan, M. W.; Ganly, I.
Article Title: Validation of nomograms for overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and recurrence in carcinoma of the major salivary glands
Abstract: Background: The purpose of this study was to investigate the performance of the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center salivary carcinoma nomograms predicting overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and recurrence with an external validation dataset. Methods: The validation dataset comprised 123 patients treated between 2010 and 2015 at our institution. They were evaluated by assessing discrimination (concordance index [C-index]) and calibration (plotting predicted vs actual probabilities for quintiles). Results: The validation cohort (n = 123) showed some differences to the original cohort (n = 301). The validation cohort had less high-grade cancers (P =.006), less lymphovascular invasion (LVI; P <.001) and shorter follow-up of 19 months versus 45.6 months. Validation showed a C-index of 0.833 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.758-0.908), 0.807 (95% CI 0.717-0.898), and 0.844 (95% CI 0.768-0.920) for overall survival, cancer-specific survival, and recurrence, respectively. Conclusion: The 3 salivary gland nomograms performed well using a contemporary validation dataset, despite limitations related to sample size, follow-up, and differences in clinical and pathology characteristics between the original and validation cohorts. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Keywords: survival; recurrence; prediction; nomogram; salivary cancer
Journal Title: Head & Neck
Volume: 40
Issue: 5
ISSN: 1043-3074
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.  
Date Published: 2018-05-01
Start Page: 1008
End Page: 1015
Language: English
DOI: 10.1002/hed.25079
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC5912956
PUBMED: 29389040
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 1 May 2018 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Snehal G Patel
    412 Patel
  2. Jocelyn C Migliacci
    104 Migliacci
  3. Ashley Hay
    14 Hay