Nomograms in oncology: More than meets the eye Journal Article


Authors: Balachandran, V. P.; Gonen, M.; Smith, J. J.; DeMatteo, R. P.
Article Title: Nomograms in oncology: More than meets the eye
Abstract: Nomograms are widely used as prognostic devices in oncology and medicine. With the ability to generate an individual probability of a clinical event by integrating diverse prognostic and determinant variables, nomograms meet our desire for biologically and clinically integrated models and fulfill our drive towards personalised medicine. Rapid computation through user-friendly digital interfaces, together with increased accuracy, and more easily understood prognoses compared with conventional staging, allow for seamless incorporation of nomogram-derived prognosis to aid clinical decision making. This has led to the appearance of many nomograms on the internet and in medical journals, and an increase in nomogram use by patients and physicians alike. However, the statistical foundations of nomogram construction, their precise interpretation, and evidence supporting their use are generally misunderstood. This issue is leading to an under-appreciation of the inherent uncertainties regarding nomogram use. We provide a systematic, practical approach to evaluating and comprehending nomogram-derived prognoses, with particular emphasis on clarifying common misconceptions and highlighting limitations. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
Journal Title: Lancet Oncology
Volume: 16
Issue: 4
ISSN: 1470-2045
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 2015-04-01
Start Page: e173
End Page: e180
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/S1470-2045(14)71116-7
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC4465353
PUBMED: 25846097
DOI/URL:
Notes: Export Date: 3 August 2015 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Ronald P DeMatteo
    637 DeMatteo
  2. Mithat Gonen
    1030 Gonen
  3. Jesse Joshua Smith
    222 Smith