Pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer risk: A pooled analysis in the International Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4) Journal Article


Authors: Duell, E. J.; Lucenteforte, E.; Olson, S. H.; Bracci, P. M.; Li, D.; Risch, H. A.; Silverman, D. T.; Ji, B. T.; Gallinger, S.; Holly, E. A.; Fontham, E. H.; Maisonneuve, P.; Bueno-de-Mesquita, H. B.; Ghadirian, P.; Kurtz, R. C.; Ludwig, E.; Yu, H.; Lowenfels, A. B.; Seminara, D.; Petersen, G. M.; La Vecchia, C.; Boffetta, P.
Article Title: Pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer risk: A pooled analysis in the International Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4)
Abstract: Background: Pancreatitis is a known risk factor for pancreatic cancer; however, an unknown fraction of the disease is thought to be a consequence of tumor-related duct obstruction. Patients and methods: A pooled analysis of a history of pancreatitis and risk of pancreatic cancer was carried out considering the time interval between diagnoses and potential modification by covariates. Adjusted pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated from 10 case-control studies (5048 cases of ductal pancreatic adenocarcinoma and 10 947 controls) taking part in the International Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanC4). Results: The association between pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer was nearly three-fold at intervals of >2 years between diagnoses (OR: 2.71, 95% CI: 1.96-3.74) and much stronger at intervals of ≤2 years (OR: 13.56, 95% CI: 8.72-21.90) probably reflecting a combination of reverse causation and antecedent misdiagnosis of pancreas cancer as pancreatitis. The younger (<65 years) pancreatic cancer cases showed stronger associations with previous (>2 years) pancreatitis (OR: 3.91, 95% CI: 2.53-6.04) than the older (≥65 years) cases (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.02-2.76; P value for interaction: 0.006). Conclusions: Despite a moderately strong association between pancreatitis (diagnosed before >2 years) and pancreatic cancer, the population attributable fraction was estimated at 1.34% (95% CI: 0.612-2.07%), suggesting that a relatively small proportion of pancreatic cancer might be avoided if pancreatitis could be prevented. © The Author 2012. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society for Medical Oncology.
Keywords: case-control studies; risk factors; pancreatitis; pancreatic cancer; pooled analysis
Journal Title: Annals of Oncology
Volume: 23
Issue: 11
ISSN: 0923-7534
Publisher: Oxford University Press  
Date Published: 2012-11-01
Start Page: 2964
End Page: 2970
Language: English
DOI: 10.1093/annonc/mds140
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC3477881
PUBMED: 22767586
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Export Date: 3 December 2012" - "Art. No.: mds140" - "CODEN: ANONE" - "Source: Scopus"
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  1. Sara H Olson
    234 Olson
  2. Emmy Ludwig
    51 Ludwig
  3. Robert C Kurtz
    196 Kurtz