Indeterminate ovarian mass at US: Incremental value of second imaging test for characterization-meta-analysis and Bayesian analysis Journal Article


Authors: Kinkel, K.; Lu, Y.; Mehdizade, A.; Pelte, M. F.; Hricak, H.
Article Title: Indeterminate ovarian mass at US: Incremental value of second imaging test for characterization-meta-analysis and Bayesian analysis
Abstract: PURPOSE: To compare value of current diagnostic strategies in assessment of changes in posttest probability of ovarian cancer when menopausal status and combination and sequence of diagnostic imaging tests are considered. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Prevalence of ovarian cancer according to mend-pausal status in women with an ovarian mass and performance of combined gray-scale and Doppler ultrasonography (US), computed tomography (CT), and nonenhanced magnetic resonance (MR) imaging and contrast material-enhanced MR imaging after indeterminate results at gray-scale US were derived from meta-analysis by using MED-LINE database and institutional data. Study was approved by the institutional review board of University Hospital Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; informed consent was waived. Posttest probability values were computed through Bayesian analysis and Monte Carlo simulation after initial gray-scale US and secondary combined gray-scale and Doppler US, CT, or MR imaging, while dependence of test results among imaging modalities was considered. Changes in posttest probability were compared among imaging modalities with summary receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS: Prevalence of ovarian cancer was 8.75% in premenopausal women and 32.40% in postmenopausal women with an ovarian mass. After characterization with initial gray-scale US, posttest probability in pre- and postmenopausal women changed, respectively, to 25% and 63% for indeterminate results and to 2% and 7% for benign results. Subsequent use: of combined gray-scale and Doppler US, CT, or MR imaging had significant higher positive and lower negative posttest probability than did use of gray-scale US alone. In women with an indeterminate initial US result, posttest probability decreased after secondary testing with benign results for all imaging modalities to 2% in premenopausal women and to 8%-10% in post-menopausal women. After secondary testing for suspicious lesions, posttest probability increased more after nonenhanced (premenopausal women, 70%; postmenopausal women, 92%) or contrast-enhanced MR imaging (premenopausal women, 80%; postmenopausal women, 95%) than it did after combined gray-scale and Doppler US (premenopausal women, 30%; postmenopausal women, 69%) or CT (premenopausal women, 38%; postmenopausal women, 76%) (P < .001). CONCLUSION: In women with an indeterminate ovarian mass at gray-scale US, MR imaging results contributed to change in probability of ovarian cancer in both pre- and postmenopausal women more than did CT or combined gray-scale and Doppler US results. © RSNA, 2005.
Keywords: major clinical study; nuclear magnetic resonance imaging; magnetic resonance imaging; sensitivity and specificity; ovarian neoplasms; computer assisted tomography; ovary cancer; bayes theorem; diagnosis, differential; prevalence; tomography, x-ray computed; diagnostic imaging; doppler echography; diagnostic value; contrast enhancement; ovary tumor; echography; premenopause; postmenopause; ultrasonography, doppler; monte carlo method
Journal Title: Radiology
Volume: 236
Issue: 1
ISSN: 0033-8419
Publisher: Radiological Society of North America, Inc.  
Date Published: 2005-07-01
Start Page: 85
End Page: 94
Language: English
DOI: 10.1148/radiol.2361041618
PUBMED: 15955864
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 65" - "Export Date: 24 October 2012" - "CODEN: RADLA" - "Source: Scopus"
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  1. Hedvig Hricak
    419 Hricak