Magnetic resonance imaging for long-term active surveillance biopsy decision-making Journal Article


Authors: Leni, R.; Tin, A. L.; Liso, N.; Carlsson, S. V.; Akin, O.; Montorsi, F.; Briganti, A.; Eastham, J. A.; Vickers, A. J.; Ehdaie, B.
Article Title: Magnetic resonance imaging for long-term active surveillance biopsy decision-making
Abstract: Objectives: To evaluate whether long-term magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings, alone or in combination with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density or the result of prior surveillance biopsies, could be used to omit biopsies occurring after patients have been on active surveillance (AS) for ≥5 years. Patients and Methods: Analysis of a single-institution AS cohort of patients with Grade Group (GG) 1 prostate cancer who underwent a scheduled 6-year MRI and biopsy. Multivariable logistic regression was used to test the association between the Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score, PSA density, status of prior AS biopsy, and reclassification to GG ≥2. We then analysed how many GG ≥2 cancers would be missed if the 6-year biopsy was avoided based on significant predictors. Results: In all, 49 of 221 men (22%) were reclassified to GG ≥2. PSA density and PI-RADS scores 4–5 were significant predictors; a prior negative AS biopsy was inversely associated with GG ≥2. The risk of missing GG ≥2 if the 6-year biopsy is omitted in men with an unsuspicious MRI (PI-RADS 1–2) was 12% (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.3–19%). After testing combinations of MRI findings, PSA density, and the status of the prior biopsy, we found the lowest risk of GG ≥2 in patients with a prior negative biopsy and PSA density of <0.10 ng/mL/cc (5.3%, 95% CI 1.5–10%). Conclusions: An unsuspicious MRI at 6 years is not enough alone to omit the 6-year AS biopsy under current guidelines. Combining MRI findings, PSA density, and prior negative AS biopsies is a promising strategy to tailor surveillance intensity. Our findings should be replicated in larger cohorts prior to implementation in clinical practice. © 2025 BJU International.
Keywords: prostate cancer; active surveillance; reclassification; multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging; surveillance biopsy
Journal Title: BJU International
Volume: 136
Issue: 3
ISSN: 1464-4096
Publisher: Wiley Blackwell  
Publication status: Published
Date Published: 2025-09-01
Online Publication Date: 2025-05-29
Start Page: 500
End Page: 506
Language: English
DOI: 10.1111/bju.16798
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC12350062
PUBMED: 40437977
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- MSK Cancer Center Support Grant (P30 CA008748) acknowledged in PubMed and PDF -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Andrew J Vickers
    891 Vickers
  2. Behfar Ehdaie
    176 Ehdaie
  3. James Eastham
    541 Eastham
  4. Oguz Akin
    272 Akin
  5. Sigrid Viktoria Carlsson
    225 Carlsson
  6. Nicole E Benfante
    163 Benfante
  7. Amy Lam Ling Tin
    119 Tin
  8. Riccardo Leni
    4 Leni