Unification of favourable intermediate-, unfavourable intermediate-, and very high-risk stratification criteria for prostate cancer Journal Article


Authors: Zumsteg, Z. S.; Zelefsky, M. J.; Woo, K. M.; Spratt, D. E.; Kollmeier, M. A.; McBride, S.; Pei, X.; Sandler, H. M.; Zhang, Z.
Article Title: Unification of favourable intermediate-, unfavourable intermediate-, and very high-risk stratification criteria for prostate cancer
Abstract: Objective: To improve on the existing risk-stratification systems for prostate cancer. Patients and Methods: This was a retrospective investigation including 2 248 patients undergoing dose-escalated external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) at a single institution. We separated National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) intermediate-risk prostate cancer into ‘favourable’ and ‘unfavourable’ groups based on primary Gleason pattern, percentage of positive biopsy cores (PPBC), and number of NCCN intermediate-risk factors. Similarly, NCCN high-risk prostate cancer was stratified into ‘standard’ and ‘very high-risk’ groups based on primary Gleason pattern, PPBC, number of NCCN high-risk factors, and stage T3b–T4 disease. Patients with unfavourable-intermediate-risk (UIR) prostate cancer had significantly inferior prostate-specific antigen relapse-free survival (PSA-RFS, P < 0.001), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS, P < 0.001), prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM, P < 0.001), and overall survival (OS, P < 0.001) compared with patients with favourable-intermediate-risk (FIR) prostate cancer. Similarly, patients with very high-risk (VHR) prostate cancer had significantly worse PSA-RFS (P < 0.001), DMFS (P < 0.001), and PCSM (P = 0.001) compared with patients with standard high-risk (SHR) prostate cancer. Moreover, patients with FIR and low-risk prostate cancer had similar outcomes, as did patients with UIR and SHR prostate cancer. Results: Consequently, we propose the following risk-stratification system: Group 1, low risk and FIR; Group 2, UIR and SHR; and Group 3, VHR. These groups have markedly different outcomes, with 8-year distant metastasis rates of 3%, 9%, and 29% (P < 0.001) for Groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively, and 8-year PCSM of 1%, 4%, and 13% (P < 0.001) after EBRT. This modified stratification system was significantly more accurate than the three-tiered NCCN system currently in clinical use for all outcomes. Conclusion: Modifying the NCCN risk-stratification system to group FIR with low-risk patients and UIR with SHR patients, results in modestly improved prediction of outcomes, potentially allowing better personalisation of therapeutic recommendations. © 2017 The Authors BJU International © 2017 BJU International Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd
Keywords: adult; aged; major clinical study; overall survival; cancer risk; cancer staging; prostate specific antigen; cohort analysis; tumor biopsy; retrospective study; cancer mortality; distant metastasis; risk assessment; prostate cancer; gleason score; prostate biopsy; prognostic factors; risk stratification; external beam radiotherapy; high risk population; intermediate risk; recurrence free survival; high risk; cancer prognosis; distant metastasis free survival; human; male; priority journal; article; intermediate risk population; very high risk
Journal Title: BJU International
Volume: 120
Issue: 5B
ISSN: 1464-4096
Publisher: Wiley Blackwell  
Date Published: 2017-11-01
Start Page: E87
End Page: E95
Language: English
DOI: 10.1111/bju.13903
PROVIDER: scopus
PUBMED: 28464446
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 1 December 2017 -- Source: Scopus
Altmetric
Citation Impact
BMJ Impact Analytics
MSK Authors
  1. Zhigang Zhang
    431 Zhang
  2. Michael J Zelefsky
    754 Zelefsky
  3. Marisa A Kollmeier
    229 Kollmeier
  4. Zachary Stephan Zumsteg
    36 Zumsteg
  5. Daniel Eidelberg Spratt
    77 Spratt
  6. Xin Pei
    136 Pei
  7. Kaitlin Marie Woo
    101 Woo
  8. Sean Matthew McBride
    300 McBride