Variation of serum prostate-specific antigen levels: An evaluation of year-to-year fluctuations Journal Article


Authors: Eastham, J. A.; Riedel, E.; Scardino, P. T.; Shike, M.; Fleisher, M.; Schatzkin, A.; Lanza, E.; Latkany, L.; Begg, C. B.
Article Title: Variation of serum prostate-specific antigen levels: An evaluation of year-to-year fluctuations
Abstract: Context: Serum prostate, specific antigen (PSA) testing is frequently used in early detection programs for prostate cancer. While PSA testing has resulted in an increase in prostate cancer detection, its routine use has been questioned because of a lack of specificity. Objective: To determine whether year-to-year fluctuations in PSA levels are due to natural variation and render a single PSA test result unreliable. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective analysis of an unscreened population of 972 men (median age, 62 years) participating in the Polyp Prevention Trial (1991-1998). Five consecutive blood samples were obtained during a 4-year period and were assessed for total and free PSA levels. Main Outcome Measure: Abnormal PSA test result based on a PSA level higher than 4 ng/mL; a PSA level higher than 2.5 ng/mL; a PSA level above the age-specific cutoff; a PSA level in the range of 4 to 10 ng/mL and a free-to-total ratio of less than 0.25 ng/mL; or a PSA velocity higher than 0.75 ng/mL per year. Results: Prostate biopsy would have been recommended in 207 participants (21%) with a PSA level higher than 4 ng/ mL; in 358 (37%) with a level higher than 2.5 ng/mL; in 172 (18%) with a level above the age-specific cutoff; in 190 (20%) with a level between 4 and 10 ng/mL and a free-to-total ratio of less than 0.25 ng/mL; and in 145 (15%) with a velocity higher than 0.75 ng/mL per year. Among men with an abnormal PSA finding, a high proportion had a normal PSA finding at 1 or more subsequent visits during 4-year follow-up: 68 (44%) of 154 participants with a PSA level higher than 4 ng/mL; 116 (40%) of 291 had a level higher than 2.5 ng/mL; 64 (55%) of 117 had an elevated level above the age-specific cutoff; and 76 (53%) of 143 had a level between 4 and 10 ng/mL and a free-to-total ratio of less than 0,25 ng/mL. Conclusion: An isolated elevation in PSA level should be confirmed several weeks later before proceeding with further testing, including prostate biopsy.
Keywords: adult; aged; aged, 80 and over; middle aged; retrospective studies; major clinical study; cancer diagnosis; diagnostic accuracy; reproducibility; prostate specific antigen; reproducibility of results; mass screening; retrospective study; prostate cancer; prostate-specific antigen; prostatic neoplasms; health program; blood; blood sampling; early diagnosis; prostate tumor; prostate biopsy; reference values; reference value; humans; human; male; priority journal; article
Journal Title: JAMA - Journal of the American Medical Association
Volume: 289
Issue: 20
ISSN: 0098-7484
Publisher: American Medical Association  
Date Published: 2003-05-28
Start Page: 2695
End Page: 2700
Language: English
DOI: 10.1001/jama.289.20.2695
PUBMED: 12771116
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: Export Date: 12 September 2014 -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Moshe Shike
    168 Shike
  2. Colin B Begg
    306 Begg
  3. Peter T Scardino
    671 Scardino
  4. James Eastham
    541 Eastham
  5. Martin Fleisher
    312 Fleisher
  6. Lianne M Russo
    24 Russo