Long-term outcome among men with conservatively treated localised prostate cancer Journal Article


Authors: Cuzick, J.; Fisher, G.; Kattan, M. W.; Berney, D.; Oliver, T.; Foster, C. S.; Møller, H.; Reuter, V.; Fearn, P.; Eastham, J.; Scardino, P.
Article Title: Long-term outcome among men with conservatively treated localised prostate cancer
Abstract: Optimal management of clinically localised prostate cancer presents unique challenges, because of its highly variable and often indolent natural history. There is an urgent need to predict more accurately its natural history, in order to avoid unnecessary treatment. Medical records of men diagnosed with clinically localised prostate cancer, in the UK, between 1990 and 1996 were reviewed to identify those who were conservatively treated, under age 76 years at the time of pathological diagnosis and had a baseline prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurement. Diagnostic biopsy specimens were centrally reviewed to assign primary and secondary Gleason grades. The primary end point was death from prostate cancer and multivariate models were constructed to determine its best predictors. A total of 2333 eligible patients were identified. The most important prognostic factors were Gleason score and baseline PSA level. These factors were largely independent and together, contributed substantially more predictive power than either one alone. Clinical stage and extent of disease determined, either from needle biopsy or transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP) chips, provided some additional prognostic information. In conclusion, a model using Gleason score and PSA level identified three subgroups comprising 17, 50, and 33% of the cohort with a 10-year prostate cancer specific mortality of <10, 10-30, and >30%, respectively. This classification is a substantial improvement on previous ones using only Gleason score, but better markers are needed to predict survival more accurately in the intermediate group of patients. © 2006 Cancer Research UK.
Keywords: cancer survival; treatment outcome; aged; middle aged; survival analysis; survival rate; cancer staging; follow-up studies; neoplasm staging; prostate specific antigen; cancer mortality; time factors; prostate cancer; gleason score; prostate-specific antigen; prostatic neoplasms; prostate; severity of illness index; biopsy, needle; needle biopsy; prognostic factors; medical record; predictive value of tests; long term care; multivariate analysis; united kingdom; great britain; localised prostate cancer
Journal Title: British Journal of Cancer
Volume: 95
Issue: 9
ISSN: 0007-0920
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group  
Date Published: 2006-11-06
Start Page: 1186
End Page: 1194
Language: English
DOI: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6603411
PUBMED: 17077805
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC2360576
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 62" - "Export Date: 4 June 2012" - "CODEN: BJCAA" - "Source: Scopus"
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  1. Peter T Scardino
    671 Scardino
  2. James Eastham
    537 Eastham
  3. Victor Reuter
    1223 Reuter
  4. Paul A Fearn
    59 Fearn