Predictors and patterns of non-urothelial recurrence after nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UCAN collaboration) Journal Article


Authors: Katims, A. B.; Tin, A. L.; Assel, M.; Hensley, P.; Li, R.; Margulis, V.; Matin, S.; Pallauf, M.; Clark, R. K.; Raman, J. D.; Singla, N.; Spiess, P. E.; Coleman, J.
Article Title: Predictors and patterns of non-urothelial recurrence after nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UCAN collaboration)
Abstract: Purpose: After radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma, 25% of patients experience distant metastasis within 5 years. Non-urothelial recurrence is associated with poor prognosis and survival, with ~80% of patients dying within 2 years. We evaluated predictors, patterns, and timing of recurrences after radical nephroureterectomy and the association between recurrence location and cancer-specific survival. Materials and Methods: Separate competing risk regression models with each site as the outcome and all other recurrence sites as the competing risk. A Cox proportional hazards model evaluated predictors and the association between cancer-specific survival and recurrence site, adjusting for time from surgery to recurrence. A separate model including multiple sites (yes/no) evaluated the association with cancer-specific survival, also adjusting for recurrence sites. Results: 2177 patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma underwent radical nephroureterectomy between 01/2000-02/2021 from 7 institutions, with 454 developing non-urothelial recurrence (survivor median follow-up, 34 (IQR 11, 70) months). Improved cancer-specific survival rates were seen in lung and lymph node metastasis compared to other sites (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.37, 0.97, p = 0.038; HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.41, 1.02, p = 0.063, respectively). Recurrence to multiple concurrent non-urothelial sites was associated with worse cancer-specific survival rates (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.30, 2.17, p<0.001). Significant recurrence associations included tumor size, high stage/grade, and tumor location. There was no statistically significant survival differences based on timing of recurrence. Conclusions: Recurrences were common within 2 years. Lung/lymph node recurrences portended the most favorable cancer-specific survival rates. Understanding the timing and location of recurrence can tailor surveillance strategies. Copyright © 2025 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.
Keywords: risk factors; recurrence; upper tract urothelial carcinoma
Journal Title: Journal of Urology
ISSN: 0022-5347
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Publication status: Online ahead of print
Date Published: 2025-06-17
Online Publication Date: 2025-06-17
Language: English
DOI: 10.1097/ju.0000000000004646
PROVIDER: scopus
PUBMED: 40526449
DOI/URL:
Notes: The MSK Cancer Center Support Grant (P30 CA008748) is acknowledge in the PDF -- Corresponding authors is MSK author: Jonathan Coleman -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Jonathan Coleman
    349 Coleman
  2. Melissa Jean Assel
    113 Assel
  3. Amy Lam Ling Tin
    119 Tin
  4. Andrew Barry Katims
    14 Katims