Performance of 4Kscore as a reflex test to prostate-specific antigen in the GÖTEBORG-2 prostate cancer screening trial Journal Article


Authors: Josefsson, A.; Månsson, M.; Kohestani, K.; Spyratou, V.; Wallström, J.; Hellström, M.; Lilja, H.; Vickers, A.; Carlsson, S. V.; Godtman, R.; Hugosson, J.
Article Title: Performance of 4Kscore as a reflex test to prostate-specific antigen in the GÖTEBORG-2 prostate cancer screening trial
Abstract: Background and objective: We investigated whether adding 4Kscore as a reflex test to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) could improve the screening algorithm for prostate cancer (PC). Methods: In the GÖTEBORG-2 PC screening trial, 38 000men (50–60 yr) were invited to PSA testing and, if elevated, followed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). For 571 men with PSA ≥3.0 ng/ml and evaluable outcomes, 4Kscore was calculated. The performance using a prespecified 4Kscore cutoff of 7.5% was evaluated. Key findings and limitations: The area under the curve for 4Kscore to identify intermediate- and high-risk PC was 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.79–0.89), and the positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 15% (0.12–0.20) and 99% (97–100%), respectively. Of the 54 men diagnosed with intermediate- or high-grade PC, two had a 4Kscore cutoff below 7.5%, both with organ-confined intermediate-risk PC. Per 1000 men with elevated PSA, adding 4Kscore would have resulted in avoidance of MRI for 408 (41%) men, biopsies for 95 (28% reduction) men, and diagnosis of 23 low-grade cancers (23% reduction) while delaying the diagnosis of four men with intermediate-grade cancers (4%). Conclusions and clinical implications: Including 4Kscore as a reflex test for men with elevated PSA reduces the need for MRI and biopsy markedly, and results in less overdiagnosis of low-grade PC at the cost of delaying the diagnosis of intermediate-grade PC in a few men. These results add further evidence for including new blood-based biomarkers in addition to PSA to improve the harm and benefit ratio of PC screening and reduce the need for resource-demanding MRI and biopsies. © 2024 The Author(s)
Keywords: adult; controlled study; human tissue; aged; middle aged; major clinical study; nuclear magnetic resonance imaging; magnetic resonance imaging; cancer diagnosis; cancer grading; sensitivity and specificity; prostate specific antigen; cancer screening; algorithms; high risk patient; risk assessment; prostate cancer; prostate-specific antigen; prostatic neoplasms; blood; algorithm; screening; prostate tumor; diagnosis; prostate biopsy; kallikrein; predictive value of tests; delayed diagnosis; informed consent; early detection of cancer; kallikreins; predictive value; avoidance behavior; diagnostic test accuracy study; procedures; neoplasm grading; humans; human; male; article; 4kscore; early cancer diagnosis; prostate imaging reporting and data system; goteborg-2 study
Journal Title: European Urology
Volume: 86
Issue: 3
ISSN: 0302-2838
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 2024-09-01
Start Page: 223
End Page: 229
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/j.eururo.2024.04.037
PUBMED: 38772787
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC11747930
DOI/URL:
Notes: The MSK Cancer Center Support Grant (P30 CA008748) is acknowledged in the PubMed record and PDF -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Hans Gosta Lilja
    345 Lilja
  2. Andrew J Vickers
    882 Vickers
  3. Sigrid Viktoria Carlsson
    221 Carlsson