Do decision biases predict bad decisions? Omission bias, naturalness bias, and influenza vaccination Journal Article


Authors: Dibonaventura, M. D.; Chapman, G. B.
Article Title: Do decision biases predict bad decisions? Omission bias, naturalness bias, and influenza vaccination
Abstract: Purpose. Numerous studies using hypothetical vignettes have demonstrated decision biases or deviations from utility theory. Do people who commit biases in questionnaire studies make worse real-world decisions than do less biased people? Methods. Two hundred seventy university faculty and staff participated in a questionnaire study in which they reported whether they accepted a free influenza vaccine offered at their work place. Influenza vaccine acceptance was the measure of real-world decision making. Participants responded to 3 hypothetical scenarios. Two scenarios measured the omission bias and described a vaccine (scenario 1) and a medication (scenario 2) that prevented a negative health outcome but that itself could cause the negative health outcome. The omission bias is a preference for not vaccinating or medicating even when the vaccine/medication lowers the total risk of the negative outcome. A 3rd scenario measured the naturalness bias by presenting a choice between 2 chemically identical medications, one extracted from a natural herb and the other synthesized in a laboratory. Preference for the natural medication indicated the naturalness bias. Results. The results indicated that a substantial proportion of participants exhibited these biases and that participants who exhibited these biases were less likely to accept the flu vaccine. Conclusions. To the extent that declining a free flu vaccine is a worse real-world decision, people who demonstrate the naturalness and omission biases in hypothetical scenarios make worse real-world decisions.
Keywords: adult; aged; middle aged; medical decision making; health behavior; influenza vaccination; questionnaires; questionnaire; vaccination; attitude; herbaceous agent; bias (epidemiology); decision making; influenza vaccine; influenza; influenza, human; university; naturalness bias; omission bias; employee
Journal Title: Medical Decision Making
Volume: 28
Issue: 4
ISSN: 0272-989X
Publisher: Sage Publications  
Date Published: 2008-07-01
Start Page: 532
End Page: 539
Language: English
DOI: 10.1177/0272989x07312723
PUBMED: 18319507
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 3" - "Export Date: 17 November 2011" - "CODEN: MDMAD" - "Source: Scopus"
Altmetric
Citation Impact
BMJ Impact Analytics
MSK Authors