A clinical prediction rule for pulmonary complications after thoracic surgery for primary lung cancer Journal Article


Authors: Amar, D.; Munoz, D.; Shi, W.; Zhang, H.; Thaler, H. T.
Article Title: A clinical prediction rule for pulmonary complications after thoracic surgery for primary lung cancer
Abstract: Background: There is controversy surrounding the value of the predicted postoperative diffusing capacity of lung for carbon monoxide (DLCOppo) in comparison to the forced expired volume in 1 s for prediction of pulmonary complications (PCs) after thoracic surgery. Methods: Using a prospective database, we performed an analysis of 956 patients who had resection for lung cancer at a single institution. PC was defined as the occurrence of any of the following: atelectasis, pneumonia, pulmonary embolism, respiratory failure, and need for supplemental oxygen at hospital discharge. Results: PCs occurred in 121 of 956 patients (12.7%). Preoperative chemotherapy (odds ratio 1.64, 95% confidence interval 1.06-2.55, P = 0.02, point score 2) and a lower DLCOppo (odds ratio per each 5% decrement 1.13, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.19, P < 0.0001, point score 1 per each 5% decrement of DLCOppo less than 100%) were independent risk factors for PCs. We defined 3 overall risk categories for PCs: low ≤10 points, 39 of 448 patients (9%); intermediate 11-13 points, 37 of 256 patients (14%); and high ≥14 points, 42 of 159 patients (26%). The median (range) length of hospital stay was significantly greater for patients who developed PCs than for those who did not: 12 (3-113) days vs 6 (2-39) days, P < 0.0001, respectively. Similarly, 30-day mortality was significantly more frequent for patients who developed PCs than for those who did not: 16 of 121 (13.2%) vs 6 of 835 (0.7%), P < 0.0001. Conclusions: These data show that PCs after thoracic surgery for lung cancer can be predicted with moderate accuracy based on DLCOppo and whether patients had chemotherapy. Forced expired volume in 1 s was not a predictor of PCs. Copyright © 2010 International Anesthesia Research Society.
Keywords: cancer chemotherapy; aged; middle aged; antibiotic agent; cancer surgery; primary tumor; major clinical study; mortality; cisplatin; paclitaxel; preoperative care; carboplatin; etoposide; antineoplastic combined chemotherapy protocols; lung neoplasms; lung cancer; prediction; risk factor; vinblastine; risk assessment; pneumonia; lung embolism; postoperative complication; postoperative complications; length of stay; hospitalization; heart infarction; predictive value of tests; atelectasis; hospital discharge; morphine; walking; mitomycin; regression analysis; health care costs; forced expiratory volume; analysis of variance; bupivacaine; patient controlled analgesia; thorax surgery; lung infiltrate; oxygen supply; multiple organ failure; fentanyl; respiratory failure; thoracic surgical procedures; postoperative analgesia; carbon monoxide; isoflurane; vecuronium; lung complication; lung diffusion; anaerobic threshold; lung diseases; pulmonary diffusing capacity; spirometry
Journal Title: Anesthesia and Analgesia
Volume: 110
Issue: 5
ISSN: 0003-2999
Publisher: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins  
Date Published: 2010-05-01
Start Page: 1343
End Page: 1348
Language: English
DOI: 10.1213/ANE.0b013e3181bf5c99
PUBMED: 19861366
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 1" - "Export Date: 20 April 2011" - "CODEN: AACRA" - "Source: Scopus"
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MSK Authors
  1. Weiji Shi
    121 Shi
  2. David Amar
    137 Amar
  3. Howard T Thaler
    245 Thaler
  4. Hao Zhang
    62 Zhang
  5. Daisy Munoz
    3 Munoz