Prognostic and predictive value of the 21-gene recurrence score assay in postmenopausal women with node-positive, oestrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer on chemotherapy: a retrospective analysis of a randomised trial Journal Article


Authors: Albain, K. S.; Barlow, W. E.; Shak, S.; Hortobagyi, G. N.; Livingston, R. B.; Yeh, I. T.; Ravdin, P.; Bugarini, R.; Baehner, F. L.; Davidson, N. E.; Sledge, G. W.; Winer, E. P.; Hudis, C.; Ingle, J. N.; Perez, E. A.; Pritchard, K. I.; Shepherd, L.; Gralow, J. R.; Yoshizawa, C.; Allred, D. C.; Osborne, C. K.; Hayes, D. F.
Article Title: Prognostic and predictive value of the 21-gene recurrence score assay in postmenopausal women with node-positive, oestrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer on chemotherapy: a retrospective analysis of a randomised trial
Abstract: Background: The 21-gene recurrence score assay is prognostic for women with node-negative, oestrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer treated with tamoxifen. A low recurrence score predicts little benefit of chemotherapy. For node-positive breast cancer, we investigated whether the recurrence score was prognostic in women treated with tamoxifen alone and whether it identified those who might not benefit from anthracycline-based chemotherapy, despite higher risks of recurrence. Methods: The phase 3 trial SWOG-8814 for postmenopausal women with node-positive, oestrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer showed that chemotherapy with cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and fluorouracil (CAF) before tamoxifen (CAF-T) added survival benefit to treatment with tamoxifen alone. Optional tumour banking yielded specimens for determination of recurrence score by RT-PCR. In this retrospective analysis, we assessed the effect of recurrence score on disease-free survival by treatment group (tamoxifen vs CAF-T) using Cox regression, adjusting for number of positive nodes. Findings: There were 367 specimens (40% of the 927 patients in the tamoxifen and CAF-T groups) with sufficient RNA for analysis (tamoxifen, n=148; CAF-T, n=219). The recurrence score was prognostic in the tamoxifen-alone group (p=0·006; hazard ratio [HR] 2·64, 95% CI 1·33-5·27, for a 50-point difference in recurrence score). There was no benefit of CAF in patients with a low recurrence score (score <18; log-rank p=0·97; HR 1·02, 0·54-1·93), but an improvement in disease-free survival for those with a high recurrence score (score ≥31; log-rank p=0·033; HR 0·59, 0·35-1·01), after adjustment for number of positive nodes. The recurrence score by treatment interaction was significant in the first 5 years (p=0·029), with no additional prediction beyond 5 years (p=0·58), although the cumulative benefit remained at 10 years. Results were similar for overall survival and breast-cancer-specific survival. Interpretation: The recurrence score is prognostic for tamoxifen-treated patients with positive nodes and predicts significant benefit of CAF in tumours with a high recurrence score. A low recurrence score identifies women who might not benefit from anthracycline-based chemotherapy, despite positive nodes. Funding: National Cancer Institute and Genomic Health. © 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: adult; cancer chemotherapy; cancer survival; controlled study; treatment outcome; aged; disease-free survival; middle aged; retrospective studies; major clinical study; overall survival; cancer recurrence; doxorubicin; fluorouracil; cancer combination chemotherapy; monotherapy; patient selection; united states; disease free survival; recurrence risk; lymph node metastasis; lymphatic metastasis; reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction; multiple cycle treatment; breast cancer; gene expression profiling; antineoplastic combined chemotherapy protocols; proportional hazards models; tumor markers, biological; randomized controlled trials as topic; recurrence; cyclophosphamide; breast neoplasms; retrospective study; prediction; high risk patient; time factors; risk assessment; kaplan-meiers estimate; gene expression regulation, neoplastic; reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction; clinical trials, phase iii as topic; scoring system; predictive value of tests; tamoxifen; receptors, estrogen; anthracycline derivative; estrogen receptor; postmenopause; tumor gene; genetic testing; rna analysis
Journal Title: Lancet Oncology
Volume: 11
Issue: 1
ISSN: 1470-2045
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 2010-01-01
Start Page: 55
End Page: 65
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/s1470-2045(09)70314-6
PUBMED: 20005174
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC3058239
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 56" - "Export Date: 20 April 2011" - "CODEN: LOANB" - "Source: Scopus"
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  1. Clifford Hudis
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