Prognostic factors in patients with metastatic germ cell tumors who experienced treatment failure with cisplatin-based first-line chemotherapy Journal Article


Author: The International Prognostic Factors Study Group
Contributors: Bosl, G.; Feldman, D.; Motzer, R.; Turkula, S.
Article Title: Prognostic factors in patients with metastatic germ cell tumors who experienced treatment failure with cisplatin-based first-line chemotherapy
Abstract: Purpose: To develop a prognostic model in patients with germ cell tumors (GCT) who experience treatment failure with cisplatin-based first-line chemotherapy. Patients and Methods: Data from 1,984 patients with GCT who progressed after at least three cisplatin-based cycles and were treated with cisplatin-based conventional-dose or carboplatin-based high-dose salvage chemotherapy was retrospectively collected from 38 centers/groups worldwide. One thousand five hundred ninety-four (80%) of 1,984 eligible patients were randomly divided into a training set of 1,067 patients (67%) and a validation set of 527 patients (33%). Seminomas were set aside for posthoc analyses. Primary end point was the 2-year progression-free survival after salvage treatment. Results: Overall, 990 patients (62%) relapsed and 604 patients (38%) remained relapse free. Histology, primary tumor location, response, and progression-free interval after first-line treatment, as well as levels of alpha fetoprotein, human chorionic gonadotrophin, and the presence of liver, bone, or brain metastases at salvage were identified as independent prognostic variables and used to build a prognostic model in the training set. Survival rates in the training and validation set were very similar. The estimated 2-year progression-free survival rates in patients not included in the training set was 75% in very low risk, 51% in low risk, 40% in intermediate risk, 26% in high risk, and only 6% in very high-risk patients. Due to missing values in individual variables, 69 patients could not reliably be classified into one of these categories. Conclusion: Prognostic variables are important in patients with GCT who experienced treatment failure with cisplatin-based first-line chemotherapy and can be used to construct a prognostic model to guide salvage strategies. © 2010 by American Society of Clinical Oncology.
Keywords: adolescent; adult; middle aged; survival rate; treatment failure; retrospective studies; major clinical study; histopathology; salvage therapy; cisplatin; doxorubicin; bone metastasis; paclitaxel; carboplatin; progression free survival; multiple cycle treatment; etoposide; cyclophosphamide; vincristine; ifosfamide; thiotepa; vinblastine; liver metastasis; scoring system; brain metastasis; neoplasm metastasis; bleomycin; cancer relapse; neoplasms, germ cell and embryonal; germ cell tumor; l-lactate dehydrogenase; seminoma; alpha fetoprotein; chorionic gonadotropin
Journal Title: Journal of Clinical Oncology
Volume: 28
Issue: 33
ISSN: 0732-183X
Publisher: American Society of Clinical Oncology  
Date Published: 2010-11-20
Start Page: 4906
End Page: 4911
Language: English
DOI: 10.1200/jco.2009.26.8128
PUBMED: 20956623
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 21" - "Export Date: 25 June 2012" - "CODEN: JCOND" - "Source: Scopus"
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  1. Robert Motzer
    1243 Motzer
  2. Darren Richard Feldman
    340 Feldman
  3. George Bosl
    430 Bosl