The influence of patient preference on surgeons' treatment recommendations in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms Journal Article


Authors: Sacks, G. D.; Shin, P.; Braithwaite, R. S.; Soares, K. C.; Kingham, T. P.; D'Angelica, M. I.; Drebin, J. A.; Jarnagin, W. R.; Wei, A. C.
Article Title: The influence of patient preference on surgeons' treatment recommendations in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms
Abstract: OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine whether surgeon variation in management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) is driven by differences in risk perception and quantify surgeons' risk threshold for changing their recommendations. BACKGROUND: Surgeons vary widely in management of IPMN. METHODS: We conducted a survey of members of the Americas HepatoPancreatoBiliary Association, presented participants with 2 detailed clinical vignettes and asked them to choose between surgical resection and surveillance. We also asked them to judge the likelihood that the IPMN harbors cancer and that the patient would have a serious complication if surgery was performed. Finally, we asked surgeons to rate the level of cancer risk at which they would change their treatment recommendation. We examined the association between surgeons' treatment recommendations and their risk perception and risk threshold. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty surgeons participated in the study. Surgeons varied in their recommendations for surgery [19% for vignette 1 (V1) and 12% for V2] and in their perception of the cancer risk (interquartile range: 2%-10% for V1 and V2) and risk of surgical complications (V1 interquartile range: 10%-20%, V2 20%-30%). After adjusting for surgeon characteristics, surgeons who were above the median in cancer risk perception were 22 percentage points (27% vs. 5%) more likely to recommend resection than those who were below the median (95% CI: 11.34%; P <0.001). The median risk threshold at which surgeons would change their recommendation was 15% (V1 and V2). Surgeons who recommended surgery had a lower risk threshold for changing their recommendation than those who recommended surveillance (V1: 10.0 vs. 15.0, P =0.06; V2: 7.0 vs. 15.0, P =0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The treatment that patients receive for IPMNs depends greatly on how their surgeons perceive the risk of cancer in the lesion. Efforts to improve cancer risk prediction for IPMNs may lead to decreased variations in care. Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.
Journal Title: Annals of Surgery
Volume: 278
Issue: 5
ISSN: 0003-4932
Publisher: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins  
Date Published: 2023-11-01
Start Page: e1068
End Page: e1072
Language: English
DOI: 10.1097/sla.0000000000005829
PUBMED: 36804447
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. William R Jarnagin
    903 Jarnagin
  2. T Peter Kingham
    609 Kingham
  3. Jeffrey Adam Drebin
    165 Drebin
  4. Alice Chia-Chi Wei
    197 Wei
  5. Kevin Cerqueira Soares
    135 Soares
  6. Greg Sacks
    4 Sacks
  7. Paul J. Shin
    12 Shin