Young age on starting prostate-specific antigen testing is associated with a greater reduction in prostate cancer mortality: 24-year follow-up of the Göteborg randomized population-based prostate cancer screening trial Journal Article


Authors: Carlsson, S. V.; Arnsrud Godtman, R.; Pihl, C. G.; Vickers, A.; Lilja, H.; Hugosson, J.; Månsson, M.
Article Title: Young age on starting prostate-specific antigen testing is associated with a greater reduction in prostate cancer mortality: 24-year follow-up of the Göteborg randomized population-based prostate cancer screening trial
Abstract: Background: The risk of death from prostate cancer (PC) depends on age, but the age at which to start prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening remains uncertain. Objective: To study the relationship between risk reduction for PC mortality and age at first PSA screening. Design, setting, and participants: The randomized Göteborg-1 trial invited men for biennial PSA screening between the ages of 50 and 70 yr (screening, n = 10 000) or no invitation but exposure to opportunistic PSA testing (control, n = 10 000). Intervention: Regular versus opportunistic PSA screening or no PSA. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: We modeled the nonlinear association between starting age and the absolute risk reduction in PC mortality in three settings: (1) intention-to-screen (randomized arms); (2) historical control (screening group and 1990–1994 registry data); and (3) attendees only (screening attendees and matched controls). We tested whether the effect of screening on PC mortality depends on the age at starting screening by comparing survival models with and without an interaction between trial arm and age (intention-to-screen and attendees only). Results and limitations: Younger age on starting PSA testing was associated with a greater reduction in PC mortality. Starting screening at age 55 yr approximately halved the risk of PC death compared to first PSA at age 60 yr. The test of association between starting age and the effect of screening on PC mortality was slightly greater than the conventional level of statistical significance (p = 0.052) for the entire cohort, and statistically significant among attendees (p = 0.002). This study is limited by the low number of disease-specific deaths for men starting screening before age 55 yr and the difficulty in discriminating between the effect of starting age and screening duration. Conclusions: Given that prior screening trials included men aged up to 70 yr on starting screening, our results suggest that the effect size reported in prior trials underestimates that of currently recommended programs starting at age 50–55 yr. Patient summary: In this study from the Göteborg-1 trial, we looked at the effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening in reducing men's risk of dying from prostate cancer given the age at which they begin testing. Starting at a younger age reduced the risk of prostate cancer death by a greater amount. We recommend that PSA screening should start no later than at age 55 yr. © 2022 European Association of Urology
Keywords: adult; cancer survival; clinical article; controlled study; aged; middle aged; follow up; follow-up studies; cancer diagnosis; prostate specific antigen; disease association; randomized controlled trial; cohort analysis; cancer screening; mass screening; cancer mortality; age; prostate cancer; prostate-specific antigen; prostatic neoplasms; prostate; screening; prostate tumor; risk reduction; early detection of cancer; procedures; humans; human; male; article; early cancer diagnosis; prostate cancer–specific mortality
Journal Title: European Urology
Volume: 83
Issue: 2
ISSN: 0302-2838
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 2023-02-01
Start Page: 103
End Page: 109
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/j.eururo.2022.10.006
PUBMED: 36334968
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC10481420
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Erratum issued, see DOI: 10.1016/j.eururo.2022.11.020 -- MSK Cancer Center Support Grant (P30 CA008748) acknowledged in PDF -- Export Date: 1 March 2023 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Hans Gosta Lilja
    343 Lilja
  2. Andrew J Vickers
    880 Vickers
  3. Sigrid Viktoria Carlsson
    220 Carlsson