A nationwide analysis of risk of prostate cancer diagnosis and mortality following an initial negative transrectal ultrasound biopsy with long-term followup Journal Article


Authors: Kawa, S. M.; Stroomberg, H. V.; Larsen, S. B.; Helgstrand, J. T.; Toft, B. G.; Vickers, A. J.; Brasso, K.; Røder, M. A.
Article Title: A nationwide analysis of risk of prostate cancer diagnosis and mortality following an initial negative transrectal ultrasound biopsy with long-term followup
Abstract: Purpose:Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) targeted prostate biopsy has been shown to find many high-grade prostate cancers in men with concurrent negative transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) systematic biopsy. The oncologic risk of such tumors can be explored by looking at long-term outcomes of men with negative TRUS biopsy followed without MRI. The aim was to analyze the mortality after initial and second negative TRUS biopsy.Materials and Methods:All men who underwent initial TRUS biopsies between January 1, 1995 and December 31, 2016 in Denmark were included. A total of 37,214 men had a negative initial TRUS biopsy and 6,389 underwent a re-biopsy. Risk of cause-specific mortality was analyzed with competing risks. Diagnosis of Gleason score ≥7 prostate cancer following negative biopsies was analyzed with multivariable logistic regression including time to re-biopsy, prostate specific antigen (PSA), age and digital rectal examination.Results:The 15-year prostate cancer-specific mortality was 1.9% (95% CI: 1.7-2.1). Prostate cancer-specific mortality was 1.3% (95% CI: 0.9-1.6) and 4.6% (95% CI: 3.4-5.8) for men with PSA <10 and >20 ng/ml, respectively. Of the TRUS re-biopsies 12% were Gleason score ≥7 and risk of Gleason score ≥7 increased with longer time to re-biopsy (p <0.001). Mortality after re-biopsy was similar to after initial biopsy.Conclusions:Men with negative TRUS biopsies have a very low prostate cancer-specific mortality, especially with PSA <10 ng/ml. This raises serious questions about the routine use of MRI targeting for initial prostate biopsy and suggests that MRI targeting should only be recommended for men with PSA >10 ng/ml after negative biopsy. © 2022 Lippincott Williams and Wilkins. All rights reserved.
Keywords: mortality; follow up; follow-up studies; magnetic resonance imaging; cancer grading; prostate specific antigen; pathology; diagnostic imaging; biopsy; prostate-specific antigen; prostatic neoplasms; prostate; prostate tumor; epidemiology; prostatic neoplasm; procedures; neoplasm grading; image guided biopsy; image-guided biopsy; humans; human; male
Journal Title: Journal of Urology
Volume: 208
Issue: 1
ISSN: 0022-5347
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 2022-07-01
Start Page: 100
End Page: 108
Language: English
DOI: 10.1097/ju.0000000000002491
PUBMED: 35212571
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC9428937
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 1 July 2022 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Andrew J Vickers
    880 Vickers