Pretreatment nomogram predicting ten-year biochemical outcome of three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy and intensity-modulated radiotherapy for prostate cancer Journal Article


Authors: Zelefsky, M. J.; Kattan, M. W.; Fearn, P.; Fearon, B. L.; Stasi, J. P.; Shippy, A. M.; Scardino, P. T.
Article Title: Pretreatment nomogram predicting ten-year biochemical outcome of three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy and intensity-modulated radiotherapy for prostate cancer
Abstract: Objectives: To update our previously published nomogram predicting for biochemical outcome with 10-year data from a larger cohort of patients treated with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (RT) or intensity-modulated RT for localized prostate cancer. Methods: From 1988 to 2004, 2253 patients were treated with three-dimensional conformal RT or intensity-modulated RT for clinical Stage T1-T3 prostate cancer. Prescription doses ranged from 64.8 to 86.4 Gy. The median follow-up time was 7 years. The nomogram was developed using a proportional hazards regression model predicting for the probability of biochemical relapse after RT according to the nadir plus 2 ng/mL definition of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) relapse. Results: The 10-year PSA relapse-free survival rate was 62%. The nomogram incorporated the following variables to predict likelihood of PSA failure after RT: pretreatment PSA level, Gleason score, radiation dose, use of neoadjuvant androgen deprivation, and clinical stage. The concordance index of this long-term nomogram was 0.72. Conclusions: A nomogram predicting the 10-year probability of biochemical control after three-dimensional conformal RT or intensity-modulated RT for prostate cancer was reasonably accurate and discriminating. The nomogram also provided evidence that long-term biochemical control can be achieved after conformal RT for the treatment of localized prostate cancer. © 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Keywords: adult; cancer survival; treatment outcome; aged; aged, 80 and over; middle aged; major clinical study; androgen; intensity modulated radiation therapy; cancer radiotherapy; radiation dose; cancer staging; follow up; follow-up studies; prostate specific antigen; radiotherapy dosage; prediction; time factors; prostate cancer; gleason score; prostate-specific antigen; prostatic neoplasms; nomograms; radiotherapy, conformal; computer assisted radiotherapy; nomogram; hormone inhibition
Journal Title: Urology
Volume: 70
Issue: 2
ISSN: 0090-4295
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 2007-08-01
Start Page: 283
End Page: 287
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/j.urology.2007.03.060
PUBMED: 17826490
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Cited By (since 1996): 17" - "Export Date: 17 November 2011" - "CODEN: URGYA" - "Source: Scopus"
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MSK Authors
  1. Michael J Zelefsky
    754 Zelefsky
  2. Peter T Scardino
    671 Scardino
  3. Alison Maureen Shippy
    16 Shippy
  4. Jason Stasi
    26 Stasi
  5. Paul A Fearn
    59 Fearn
  6. Bertha Fearon
    2 Fearon