Multimodal radiomics and cyst fluid inflammatory markers model to predict preoperative risk in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms Journal Article


Authors: Harrington, K. A.; Williams, T. L.; Lawrence, S. A.; Chakraborty, J.; Al Efishat, M. A.; Attiyeh, M. A.; Askan, G.; Chou, Y.; Pulvirenti, A.; McIntyre, C. A.; Gonen, M.; Basturk, O.; Balachandran, V. P.; Kingham, T. P.; D'Angelica, M. I.; Jarnagin, W. R.; Drebin, J. A.; Do, R. K.; Allen, P. J.; Simpson, A. L.
Article Title: Multimodal radiomics and cyst fluid inflammatory markers model to predict preoperative risk in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms
Abstract: Purpose: Our paper contributes to the burgeoning field of surgical data science. Specifically, multimodal integration of relevant patient data is used to determine who should undergo a complex pancreatic resection. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) represent cystic precursor lesions of pancreatic cancer with varying risk for malignancy. We combine previously defined individual models of radiomic analysis of diagnostic computed tomography (CT) with protein markers extracted from the cyst fluid to create a unified prediction model to identify high-risk IPMNs. Patients with high-risk IPMN would be sent for resection, whereas patients with low-risk cystic lesions would be spared an invasive procedure. Approach: Retrospective analysis of prospectively acquired cyst fluid and CT scans was undertaken for this study. A predictive model combining clinical features with a cyst fluid inflammatory marker (CFIM) was applied to patient data. Quantitative imaging (QI) features describing radiomic patterns predictive of risk were extracted from scans. The CFIM model and QI model were combined into a single predictive model. An additional model was created with tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs) assessed by a pathologist at the time of resection. Results: Thirty-three patients were analyzed (7 high risk and 26 low risk). The CFIM model yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74. Adding the QI model improved performance with an AUC of 0.88. Combining the CFIM, QI, and TAN models further increased performance to an AUC of 0.98. Conclusions: Quantitative analysis of routinely acquired CT scans combined with CFIMs provides accurate prediction of risk of pancreatic cancer progression. Although a larger cohort is needed for validation, this model represents a promising tool for preoperative assessment of IPMN. © 2020 Society of Photo-Optical Instrumentation Engineers (SPIE).
Keywords: adult; clinical article; aged; clinical feature; cancer risk; pancreas cancer; diagnostic accuracy; preoperative evaluation; prospective study; sensitivity and specificity; pancreas; biological marker; image analysis; intraductal papillary mucinous tumor; cyst fluid; inflammation; cohort analysis; cancer screening; retrospective study; prediction; high risk patient; risk assessment; neutrophil; computerized tomography; tumors; quantitative analysis; diagnosis; pancreas tumor; forecasting; iohexol; quantitative imaging; diseases; predictive value; receiver operating characteristic; predictive modeling; retrospective analysis; intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms; diagnostic test accuracy study; quantitative image analysis; endoscopic ultrasonography; pancreatic cancers; low risk patient; hospital data processing; human; male; female; article; x-ray computed tomography; radiomics; area under the curves; accurate prediction; individual models; multimodal integration
Journal Title: Journal of Medical Imaging
Volume: 7
Issue: 3
ISSN: 2329-4302
Publisher: SPIE  
Date Published: 2020-05-01
Start Page: 031507
Language: English
DOI: 10.1117/1.Jmi.7.3.031507
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC7315109
PUBMED: 32613028
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 3 August 2020 -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Mithat Gonen
    1028 Gonen
  2. Olca Basturk
    352 Basturk
  3. Peter Allen
    501 Allen
  4. William R Jarnagin
    903 Jarnagin
  5. Kinh Gian Do
    256 Do
  6. T Peter Kingham
    609 Kingham
  7. Yuting Chou
    11 Chou
  8. Gokce Askan
    77 Askan
  9. Marc   Attiyeh
    30 Attiyeh
  10. Jeffrey Adam Drebin
    165 Drebin