Incorporating model uncertainty in detecting rare variants: The Bayesian risk index Journal Article


Authors: Quintana, M. A.; Bernstein, J. L.; Thomas, D. C.; Conti, D. V.
Article Title: Incorporating model uncertainty in detecting rare variants: The Bayesian risk index
Abstract: We are interested in investigating the involvement of multiple rare variants within a given region by conducting analyses of individual regions with two goals: (1) to determine if regional rare variation in aggregate is associated with risk; and (2) conditional upon the region being associated, to identify specific genetic variants within the region that are driving the association. In particular, we seek a formal integrated analysis that achieves both of our goals. For rare variants with low minor allele frequencies, there is very little power to statistically test the null hypothesis of equal allele or genotype counts for each variant. Thus, genetic association studies are often limited to detecting association within a subset of the common genetic markers. However, it is very likely that associations exist for the rare variants that may not be captured by the set of common markers. Our framework aims at constructing a risk index based on multiple rare variants within a region. Our analytical strategy is novel in that we use a Bayesian approach to incorporate model uncertainty in the selection of variants to include in the index as well as the direction of the associated effects. Additionally, the approach allows for inference at both the group and variant-specific levels. Using a set of simulations, we show that our methodology has added power over other popular rare variant methods to detect global associations. In addition, we apply the approach to sequence data from the WECARE Study of second primary breast cancers. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Keywords: controlled study; gene sequence; sequence analysis; case-control studies; methodology; genetic predisposition to disease; bayes theorem; genetic association; genetic variability; genotype; gene frequency; genetic variation; breast neoplasms; brca1 protein; brca2 protein; simulation; statistical analysis; models, statistical; models, genetic; computer simulation; neoplasms, second primary; genetic risk; genetic model; genetic marker; wecare; uncertainty; bayes factors; bayesian model uncertainty; genetic association studies; multiplicity correction
Journal Title: Genetic Epidemiology
Volume: 35
Issue: 7
ISSN: 0741-0395
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.  
Date Published: 2011-11-01
Start Page: 638
End Page: 649
Language: English
DOI: 10.1002/gepi.20613
PROVIDER: scopus
PUBMED: 22009789
PMCID: PMC3936341
DOI/URL:
Notes: --- - "Export Date: 9 December 2011" - "CODEN: GENYE" - "Source: Scopus"
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  1. Jonine L Bernstein
    142 Bernstein