Estimating survival in patients with gastrointestinal cancers and brain metastases: An update of the graded prognostic assessment for gastrointestinal cancers (GI-GPA) Journal Article


Authors: Sperduto, P. W.; Fang, P.; Li, J.; Breen, W.; Brown, P. D.; Cagney, D.; Aizer, A.; Yu, J. B.; Chiang, V.; Jain, S.; Gaspar, L. E.; Myrehaug, S.; Sahgal, A.; Braunstein, S.; Sneed, P.; Cameron, B.; Attia, A.; Molitoris, J.; Wu, C. C.; Wang, T. J. C.; Lockney, N. A.; Beal, K.; Parkhurst, J.; Buatti, J. M.; Shanley, R.; Lou, E.; Tandberg, D. D.; Kirkpatrick, J. P.; Shi, D.; Shih, H. A.; Chuong, M.; Saito, H.; Aoyama, H.; Masucci, L.; Roberge, D.; Mehta, M. P.
Article Title: Estimating survival in patients with gastrointestinal cancers and brain metastases: An update of the graded prognostic assessment for gastrointestinal cancers (GI-GPA)
Abstract: Background: Patients with gastrointestinal cancers and brain metastases (BM) represent a unique and heterogeneous population. Our group previously published the Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA) for patients with GI cancers (GI-GPA) (1985–2007, n = 209). The purpose of this study is to update the GI-GPA based on a larger contemporary database. Methods: An IRB-approved consortium database analysis was performed using a multi-institutional (18), multi-national (3) cohort of 792 patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancers, with newly-diagnosed BM diagnosed between 1/1/2006 and 12/31/2017. Survival was measured from date of first treatment for BM. Multiple Cox regression was used to select and weight prognostic factors in proportion to their hazard ratios. These factors were incorporated into the updated GI-GPA. Results: Median survival (MS) varied widely by primary site and other prognostic factors. Four significant factors (KPS, age, extracranial metastases and number of BM) were used to formulate the updated GI-GPA. Overall MS for this cohort remains poor; 8 months. MS by GPA was 3, 7, 11 and 17 months for GPA 0–1, 1.5–2, 2.5–3.0 and 3.5–4.0, respectively. >30% present in the worst prognostic group (GI-GPA of ≤1.0). Conclusions: Brain metastases are not uncommon in GI cancer patients and MS varies widely among them. This updated GI-GPA index improves our ability to estimate survival for these patients and will be useful for therapy selection, end-of-life decision-making and stratification for future clinical trials. A user-friendly, free, on-line app to calculate the GPA score and estimate survival for an individual patient is available at brainmetgpa.com. © 2019
Keywords: adult; cancer survival; aged; middle aged; major clinical study; cancer staging; colorectal cancer; tumor localization; clinical assessment; epidermal growth factor receptor 2; hemoglobin; retrospective study; digestive system cancer; liver metastasis; karnofsky performance status; brain metastasis; stereotactic radiosurgery; brain metastases; whole brain radiotherapy; end-of-life; cancer prognosis; gastrointestinal cancers; very elderly; prognosis; human; male; female; priority journal; article; neutrophil lymphocyte ratio; graded prognostic assessment
Journal Title: Clinical and Translational Radiation Oncology
Volume: 18
ISSN: 2405-6308
Publisher: Elsevier Inc.  
Date Published: 2019-09-01
Start Page: 39
End Page: 45
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/j.ctro.2019.06.007
PROVIDER: scopus
PMCID: PMC6612649
PUBMED: 31341974
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 1 October 2019 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Kathryn Beal
    221 Beal
  2. Natalie Ausborn Lockney
    33 Lockney