Toward personalized dose-prescription in locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer: Validation of published normal tissue complication probability models Journal Article


Authors: Thor, M.; Deasy, J.; Iyer, A.; Bendau, E.; Fontanella, A.; Apte, A.; Yorke, E.; Rimner, A.; Jackson, A.
Article Title: Toward personalized dose-prescription in locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer: Validation of published normal tissue complication probability models
Abstract: Purpose: To identify published normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models suitable for patient-specific dose-prescription in locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) through in-house validation. Material and methods: From eight previously published candidate NTCP models (≥grade 2 acute esophagitis and radiation pneumonitis; AE2, RP2), patient-specific dose–responses were calculated using model variables and fractionation-corrected doses for 241 LA-NSCLC patients treated with chemo-IMRT to 50–80 Gy@1.8–2.0 Gy between 2004 and 2014 (AE2/RP2 rate: 50%/12%). A model was judged final if it significantly predicted AE2 or RP2 (p ≤ 0.05), was discriminative and well calibrated (AUC > 0.60; Hosmer–Lemeshow test pHL > 0.05), which were assessed as the median over 1000 bootstrap samples. Results: Models for AE2 had superior discrimination to RP2 models (AUC = 0.63–0.65 vs. 0.51–0.65). The final AE2 model included mean esophageal dose and concurrent chemotherapy (AUC = 0.65; p < 0.0001). The final RP2 model was a slightly adjusted version of the RP2 model with the best discrimination, and included age, mean lung dose, and pulmonary comorbidity (AUC = 0.73; p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Of the eight investigated and published NTCP models, one model successfully described AE2 and one slightly adjusted model successfully described RP2 in the independent cohort. Estimates from these two NTCP models will, therefore, be considered internally when prescribing patient-specific doses in LA-NSCLC patients. © 2019
Keywords: dose response; esophagitis; radiotherapy; lung cancer; toxicity; pneumonitis
Journal Title: Radiotherapy and Oncology
Volume: 138
ISSN: 0167-8140
Publisher: Elsevier Inc.  
Date Published: 2019-09-01
Start Page: 45
End Page: 51
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/j.radonc.2019.05.011
PROVIDER: scopus
PUBMED: 31146070
PMCID: PMC6710111
DOI/URL:
Notes: Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Andreas Rimner
    527 Rimner
  2. Andrew Jackson
    254 Jackson
  3. Ellen D Yorke
    451 Yorke
  4. Joseph Owen Deasy
    527 Deasy
  5. Aditya Apte
    205 Apte
  6. Maria Elisabeth Thor
    150 Thor
  7. Aditi Iyer
    47 Iyer
  8. Ethan Bendau
    2 Bendau