Prognostic factors in patients with metastatic malignant melanoma: A multivariate analysis Journal Article


Authors: Sirott, M. N.; Bajorin, D. F.; Wong, G. Y. C.; Tao, Y.; Chapman, P. B.; Templeton, M. A.; Houghton, A. N.
Article Title: Prognostic factors in patients with metastatic malignant melanoma: A multivariate analysis
Abstract: Background. Current methods to predict survival in patients with advanced, metastatic melanoma are limited. To determine clinical prognostic factors that accurately predict survival in patients with metastatic melanoma, a retrospective analysis was performed. Methods. Clinical, hematologic, and biochemical pretreatment parameters from 284 patients entered on 18 Phase I and II clinical trials were analyzed to determine their prognostic effect on survival. A multivariate parametric regression based on the Weibull distribution was derived to estimate survival. Results. Multivariate Weibull survival regression analysis showed that a simple model using the logarithm of the pretreatment values of lactate dehydrogenase and serum albumin, dichotomized as high and low, significantly and adequately predicted survival. A more complex multivariate model was also derived that involved the pretreatment platelet count, visceral organ involvement, and gender as additional factors. However, a larger study is needed to statistically validate such a model. Conclusions. The pretreatment values of serum lactate dehydrogenase and albumin are independent prognostic factors for survival in patients with metastatic melanoma. These two factors can be used to estimate survival of patients with advanced, metastatic melanoma and should be considered when designing melanoma trials in which survival is an endpoint. Copyright © 1993 American Cancer Society
Keywords: survival; adult; cancer survival; aged; aged, 80 and over; survival rate; retrospective studies; major clinical study; melanoma; metastasis; prognostic factors; neoplasm metastasis; thrombocyte count; lactate dehydrogenase; multivariate analysis; sex difference; sex factors; regression analysis; analysis of variance; platelet count; middle age; serum albumin; prognosis; human; male; female; priority journal; article; support, non-u.s. gov't; support, u.s. gov't, p.h.s.
Journal Title: Cancer
Volume: 72
Issue: 10
ISSN: 0008-543X
Publisher: Wiley Blackwell  
Date Published: 1993-11-15
Start Page: 3091
End Page: 3098
Language: English
DOI: 10.1002/1097-0142(19931115)72:10<3091::Aid-cncr2820721034>3.0.Co;2-v
PUBMED: 8221576
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: Source: Scopus
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  1. Dean Bajorin
    657 Bajorin
  2. Paul Chapman
    326 Chapman
  3. Alan N Houghton
    364 Houghton
  4. Yue Tao
    20 Tao
  5. George Y. Wong
    89 Wong