Tumor volume doubling time of pulmonary metastases predicts overall survival and can guide the initiation of multikinase inhibitor therapy in patients with metastatic, follicular cell-derived thyroid carcinoma Journal Article


Authors: Sabra, M. M.; Sherman, E. J.; Tuttle, R. M.
Article Title: Tumor volume doubling time of pulmonary metastases predicts overall survival and can guide the initiation of multikinase inhibitor therapy in patients with metastatic, follicular cell-derived thyroid carcinoma
Abstract: BACKGROUND: The current study was conducted to better characterize the association between overall survival (OS) from metastatic thyroid cancer and the rate of structural disease progression. METHODS: In this retrospective study, the average tumor volume doubling time (midDT) of 2 dominant lung metastases was used to group patients into 6 clinically relevant cohorts. OS was calculated from the time of metastasis diagnosis and from the time the pulmonary lesions crossed over the 1-cm diameter threshold. RESULTS: The tumor growth rate was remarkably constant in lung metastases from thyroid cancer over a median follow-up of 8.5 years (median correlation coefficient, 0.92; coefficient of determination, 0.85). Patients with a midDT ≤1 year were found to have worse OS compared with those with a higher midDT (log-rank P =.01). The 5-year OS rate from the 1-cm diameter time point was 20% for patients with a midDT ≤1 year (15 patients), 50% for patients with a midDT of 1 to 2 years (19 patients), 53% for patients with a midDT of 2 to 3 years (9 patients), 80% for patients with a midDT of 3 to 4 years (6 patients), and 80% for patients with a midDT of ≥4 years or who were negative (12 patients). Within the group of patients with a midDT ≤1 year, the 2-year OS rate from the 1-cm diameter point was 88% in the patients treated with multikinase inhibitors (8 patients) versus 43% in the nontreated group (7 patients) (P =.13). CONCLUSIONS: The midDT of lung metastases appears to be a good prognostic indicator of OS in patients with metastatic thyroid cancer. Unlike the thyroglobulin DT, the midDT alone can be used to predict eligibility for multikinase inhibitor therapy. Cancer 2017;123:2955–64. © 2017 American Cancer Society. © 2017 American Cancer Society
Keywords: lung metastasis; overall survival (os); metastatic thyroid cancer; multikinase inhibitor (mki) therapy; radioactive iodine-refractory thyroid cancer; structural doubling time
Journal Title: Cancer
Volume: 123
Issue: 15
ISSN: 0008-543X
Publisher: Wiley Blackwell  
Date Published: 2017-08-01
Start Page: 2955
End Page: 2964
Language: English
DOI: 10.1002/cncr.30690
PROVIDER: scopus
PUBMED: 28369717
PMCID: PMC6396830
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 1 August 2017 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Robert M Tuttle
    481 Tuttle
  2. Eric J Sherman
    339 Sherman
  3. Mona M Sabra
    42 Sabra