Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen predicts outcomes in node-negative colon cancer patients: A multivariate analysis of 572 patients Journal Article


Authors: Harrison, L. E.; Guillem, J. G.; Paty, P.; Cohen, A. M.
Article Title: Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen predicts outcomes in node-negative colon cancer patients: A multivariate analysis of 572 patients
Abstract: Background: Although prospective trials have demonstrated that postoperative chemotherapy for node-positive colon cancer patients provides survival benefit, no improvement in survival has been documented for node- negative colon cancer patients. There are, however, a subset of node-negative patients that go on to die of their disease. We hypothesize that this subset of node-negative patients may benefit from postoperative chemotherapy. We analyzed a large cohort of node-negative colon cancer patients from a single institution to determine prognostic factors that predict which patients with node-negative colon cancer might experience recurrence and can benefit from postoperative chemotherapy. Study Design: A review of the prospective database for colorectal cancer at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) between 1985 and 1993 identified 572 patients who underwent curative resection for node-negative colon cancer (T1,2,34N0M0). Demographic, serum, and pathologic factors were analyzed for prognostic significance. Survival was calculated by the method of Kaplan-Meier and compared by log rank test. Multivariate analysis was calculated by the Cox proportional hazard model. Results: Median follow-up was 35 months. Factors predictive of survival by univariate analysis include tumor stage, overall stage, and preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) elevation. By multivariate analysis, overall stage and preoperative serum CEA level predicted survival. Conclusions: Routine histologic and demographic factors do not predict outcome in node-negative colon cancer patients. Preoperative CEA and overall stage predict survival by multivariate analysis. Preoperative CEA elevation in node-negative patients identifies a group of patients that has a poor prognosis and defines a subset of patients who may benefit from postoperative chemotherapy.
Keywords: adult; cancer survival; treatment outcome; aged; aged, 80 and over; middle aged; survival analysis; retrospective studies; major clinical study; cancer recurrence; cancer combination chemotherapy; treatment planning; preoperative care; recurrence risk; lymphatic metastasis; preoperative evaluation; proportional hazards models; carcinoembryonic antigen; colonic neoplasms; risk; length of stay; colon cancer; antigen detection; predictive value of tests; colon resection; multivariate analysis; databases, factual; humans; prognosis; human; male; female; priority journal; article
Journal Title: Journal of the American College of Surgeons
Volume: 185
Issue: 1
ISSN: 1072-7515
Publisher: Elsevier Science, Inc.  
Date Published: 1997-07-01
Start Page: 55
End Page: 59
Language: English
DOI: 10.1016/s1072-7515(01)00881-x
PUBMED: 9208961
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 17 March 2017 -- Source: Scopus
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MSK Authors
  1. Philip B Paty
    499 Paty
  2. Jose Guillem
    414 Guillem
  3. Alfred M Cohen
    244 Cohen