Optimal two-stage design for a series of pilot trials of new agents Journal Article


Authors: Yao, T. J.; Venkatraman, E. S.
Article Title: Optimal two-stage design for a series of pilot trials of new agents
Abstract: An approach to determine the appropriate sample sizes for a series of screening trials to identify promising new therapeutic agents was presented by Yao, Begg, and Livingston (1996, Biometrics 52, 992-1001). This approach is now improved to a two-stage design that further minimizes the time to identify a promising agent under fixed error rates. When applied to data from the historical experience of exploratory vaccination trials at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, the method demonstrates that relatively small individual screening trials are optimal. The reliability of the results is evaluated using the bootstrap.
Keywords: neoplasms; accuracy; melanoma; drug research; cancer vaccines; pilot projects; vaccination; data analysis; reliability; clinical trials; biometry; sample size; sample; empirical bayes; two-stage design; bootstrap; humans; article; screening clinical trials
Journal Title: Biometrics
Volume: 54
Issue: 3
ISSN: 0006-341X
Publisher: Wiley Blackwell  
Date Published: 1998-09-01
Start Page: 1183
End Page: 1189
Language: English
DOI: 10.2307/2533868
PUBMED: 9750258
PROVIDER: scopus
DOI/URL:
Notes: Article -- Export Date: 12 December 2016 -- Source: Scopus
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  1. Venkatraman Ennapadam Seshan
    382 Seshan
  2. Tzy-Jyun Yao
    59 Yao